This is Artem Slitsky, head of the betting department of the Bookmaker Rating. I give my next forecast for the England Championship matches. The previous two predictions have gone, so I will try to extend this successful streak to please you again.
A fly in the ointment in the football and New Year atmosphere is mixing with the coronavirus. A new strain of omicron is raging in England, and as a result, many of the matches are postponed or whole groups of players are not participating in them. This did not pass by the game “Aston Villa” – “Chelsea”. But I’m in a hurry to please the Chelsea fans. Three players are returning to the lineup of Londoners on the eve of this match: they are Lukaku, Hudson-Odoi and Christiansen. This is a great boost for Thomas Tuchel, who has used a mixed squad in recent matches.
As for Aston Villa, the situation is not very clear, since the last matches did not take place. The last time the team played
more than 10 days ago. Gerrard hints in an interview that everything seems to be in order and the team is preparing for the match with a full-fledged composition. But not everything is clear to the end. He is clearly secretive and does not reveal all the cards.
Therefore, as my colleague and Bookmaker Rating expert Artur Petrosyan said, it is best to wait for the lineups for this match, but since we have to make a forecast in advance, there is something to pay attention to. I really like the 1.91 odds bet that 2-3 goals will be scored in the match.
Against the background of the situation with players’ passes, defective squads, those players who will take to the field are not one hundred percent ready, it is hardly worth waiting for a hail of goals. Basically, “Aston Villa”, and in particular Gerrard, are promoting such football that there will not be such an abundance of goals. First of all, it is worth noting the matches with Manchester City, Liverpool. “Villa” fought, played carefully, but lost 0: 1 and 1: 2. I expect about the same thing here. By the way, the rest of the matches, “Aston Villa” with Stevie G. won.
It will be difficult for Chelsea to score a lot, but I think the teams will score at least two goals. What is important, the bet on 2-3 goals took place in each of the last 6 head-to-head matches. I would also take a closer look at the option – exactly one goal from Aston Villa for 2.55. In four of the last six face-to-face meetings, this rate took place.
In reality, when Tuchel tries to play carefully, but to win, Villa will not score more than one goal. A fairly realistic option. What else would you pay attention to? Chelsea cards.
In the last seven matches of the “aristocrats” in the Premier League, they received at least two cards. It was the same recently in the League Cup against Brentford.
Atkinson, the referee who will judge this match, is not the most strict and distributing cards, but it is at Christmas that his performance grows significantly, from 3.2 cards per match on average to 3.6. Therefore, it is worth taking a closer look at Chelsea’s option for total over 1.5 cards. Don’t forget about Aston Villa’s one-goal option.
Happy holidays, friends. Artem Slitsky was with you. We believe in our rates.