Strategy “catch up” in sports betting – a chance for a stable profit or the likelihood of being left without a penny? In our article, we will analyze what “catch-up” is, how it works, and whether it is worth getting involved with this strategy at all.
What is “catch-up” in sports betting
“Dogon” is the most popular strategy among bettors, especially among beginners. To many newcomers to the world of betting, it seems like an easy and effective opportunity to make quick money and always remain in the black. But is it?
This strategy came to betting from casinos, and it is a direct successor to the Martingale system. Its essence is that the player chooses one of two events, which has an approximately 50% chance of success, and stably bets on it, each time increasing his rate by 2 times.
As a result, even if there are failures at first, sooner or later the bet will pass and the player will make a profit. But this sounds so beautiful only in theory, but in practice this strategy has many pitfalls, which we will discuss below. Now let’s talk about the basic rules of the strategy and give a concrete example of its implementation.
For bets on the “catch up” system, the most important thing is to have a large bankroll at your disposal, as well as a bookmaker who does not limit the maximum bet amount too much. And if with the first point everything depends only on you, then in the second it will be more difficult, because many bookmakers control large players who use “catch-up” and at the most inopportune moment for them can dramatically reduce the maximum speed.
And now we show how this system works in practice. We will take a coefficient of 2.0 as a basis, since it is advisable to make bets on the odds not less, or even more.
As you can see, the player won the sixth bet and made a profit. Considering that he started with 200 rubles, and for the sixth time he had to bet 6400 rubles in order to win back previous losses and make a profit of 200 rubles, it is difficult to call this strategy safe and profitable. Just imagine if the sixth bet had not won, and then you would have had to bet 12800r, 25600r and so on. Not everyone has such amounts of money in the bank, and not everyone is ready to put them on the line for the sake of wagering and getting at least a minimal profit.
You need to understand that “catching up” is a long-term strategy that requires, in addition to a large bankroll, also iron restraint in order to methodically continue to make more and more bets and hope to win. Undoubtedly, sooner or later the bad luck will end and the bet will pass, but the main problem of “catching up” is that not everyone will be able to wait for this moment due to one reason or another (the account will run out of money, patience will run out, the bookmaker will not let you put the required amount ).
But if you are nevertheless interested in this strategy and want to try it in practice, we will tell you about the features of “catch-up” in betting on different sports.
“Catch-up” in football betting
In football, you can bet on many different outcomes, but for our strategy, they will not work. Probably the most popular type of bet is the odd / even bet. This outcome in any match has a 50% chance of passing, and the odds on it usually range from 1.9 to 2.0. An even score is, for example, 1-1, 3-1, 4-2, and so on. An odd count is, for example, 1-0, 3-2, 4-1, and so on.
Of course, it is impossible to predict exactly how the match will end, so here, like in a casino, you can only hope for luck, placing bets on red or black. However, you can slightly increase the chances of success if you look for clubs with a streak of even or odd scores of 3-5 matches, then the probability of the opposite outcome will be higher.
But in this case, it should be borne in mind that you can never guess in advance when such a series will end, and it will be replaced by another. There were times when a club could finish 10-15 matches in a row with an even or odd score. Think about whether you have enough patience and bankroll for such a series, and also do not exclude the possibility that sooner or later your bookmaker may cut the betting limit.
“Catch-up” in hockey betting
Speaking of hockey, the catch-up strategy also makes sense to use when betting on an even or odd total in a match. Here the situation is similar to a football match: it is impossible to predict in advance whether the final score will be odd or even, so you can bet on this outcome.
Another good alternative is to bet on a draw in one of the periods. There are 3 of them in hockey, and often at least one of the three ends in a draw, and the odds for this are high. It is better to choose low-performing teams for bets, since a draw in a period in such a match is more likely.
“Dogon” in tennis betting
To bet on this sport, you first need to study its rules at least minimally. However, this advice applies not only to tennis, but also to any sport you intend to bet on.
Just like in football and ice hockey, you can bet on the final odd or even score of the match, where usually equal odds are offered around 1.9. But you can take a little risk and try to catch higher odds.
In tennis, a duel consists of sets, and each set, in turn, consists of games. The game is played as follows: for each point, the player is first given 15, then 30, then 40 points, and then a victory in the game.
After looking at some statistics, we found that the most frequent score in a game is 15:15. It is most advisable to bet on “catch up” in tennis on this outcome, it should be done in live. Of course, you can not bet on any match, but try to choose opponents of approximately equal strength.
Live betting is also good because you can first watch how the match is going and then decide whether to bet on it at all. And finally: the 15:15 score in the game is most often found in women’s tennis, so pay attention to it first.
“Catch-up” in basketball betting
Speaking of basketball, you can also bet on the final even or odd total of the match, but it is also advisable to use “catch-up” for bets on winning in quarters. To do this, we choose a match between the favorite and the outsider and try to catch the outsider’s victory in one of the quarters.
As statistics show, in most of these matches, the outcome becomes clear after 3 quarters, and in the last one the favorites usually let the reservists onto the floor, who can easily lose a meaningless quarter. And the coefficient for this can be high. These are the moments you need to catch in order to be able to win.
Double catch-up strategy
“Double catch-up”, or “double-catch” – is not a bet on the same outcome and waiting for the moment when it finally passes, but bets on opposite outcomes. Usually this strategy is used when betting on totals.
For example, you find a team that repeatedly breaks the total under 2.5, which means you are betting on the total over 2.5, and vice versa. When your bet wins, you use the second part of this strategy – bet on the opposite outcome and wait until you win.
But here you need to understand that this is even more risky than the usual “catch-up”, because it is even easier to run out of money here if you are unlucky and you will constantly bet on unsuccessful outcomes.
Should I use “dogon”
Of course, it is impossible to say something unequivocally in this case, but nevertheless we are of the opinion that it will not be possible to consistently win in the long term, using the “catch-up”. Why? – Now we will try to explain it.
- The first reason is the lack of preparedness of the player, who, although mentally ready for a series of defeats, does not know exactly what to do with it: stop or play further.
- The second reason is a consequence of the first. Let’s say the player has decided for himself that in the event of a series of failures, he will temporarily stop. But, again, most simply do not know when it is better to do this, and if they do, they did not come to this conclusion mathematically. We have already said that “dogon” does not tolerate frivolous attitude and, if you want to have a chance of winning, you need to clearly calculate everything in advance. You should understand why it is worth stopping at bet 3, and not at 7. And vice versa.
- The third reason is psychological. Here is a double-edged sword: some do not know when to stop, while others, on the contrary, begin to blow on the water. If the player is lucky at the beginning of the series, he can start to put doubled amounts on each of his subsequent bets, because he is already inspired by success. The result is usually disastrous. And the opposite situation: let’s say the player has calculated everything and found out that it is better to stop at the 5th bet. As a result, with the first failures, already at 3-4 steps, he may begin to be afraid of losing everything and after 5 bets he will be left with only losses, and he will stop not according to plan or, even worse, go all-in and try to win back his money in the end.
- The last fourth reason is insufficient theoretical training. There are many nuances here: firstly, the bookmaker can cut the maximum speed at any time, and the player simply will not be able to bet the desired amount. Secondly, when betting live, there is no guarantee that the bookmaker will offer a bet on the desired outcome. It may also be the case that in the first 3 quarters of basketball, first there is an opportunity to bet, but on the last, which the player was aiming at, this opportunity was lost. And there can be many such moments.
As a conclusion, I would like to say that this system has a chance for life, but it must be used very carefully. You must take into account all factors, from the amount of your bankroll, the reliability of the bookmaker, and ending with mathematical calculations.
It is necessary to clearly understand that when using “dogon” not everything depends only on you, there are also enough secondary factors. Therefore, if you are still going to use this system, bet only the money that you have already mentally said goodbye to, and the loss of which will not bring you serious problems.