Stadium: Old Trafford (Manchester).
Referee: Jonathan Moss.
“Manchester United”: Fernandes, Lindelof, Pogba.
Burnley: Barnes, Roberts.
“Manchester United” played a disgusting match against Newcastle. Almost every interception of the “forty” in their own half of the field ended in a dangerous counterattack. De Gea flew from corner to corner, as in his best years, while Man United himself created more xG, but most of the chances were after gross mistakes and cut-offs from Newcastle’s defense. United itself was absolutely helpless in attack. What can I say, if before that they miraculously beat Norwich.
Burnley traditionally has a good defense: in the last three matches they conceded only one goal. In five head-to-head matches at Old Trafford, Man United were able to beat the Clarets only last season, and in the 2020/21 Dock Championship, Burnley won 2-0 with a stunning goal from Jay Rodriguez (look, there is space ). And also the “Burgundy” lost only one match out of six. “Claret’s” rested and are ready to take away points again in Manchester.
The odds for Man United’s victory are only 1.39. And this is suspiciously small, Daich’s team really has excellent chances of at least a draw. You can bet on Burnley’s double chance for 3.02… Yes, United won both times last season, but before that they were constantly losing points.
Handicap (+1.5) for guests is estimated at a good 1.76… Burnley’s defense, if it’s not Man City, is really very reliable. Nick Pope was one of the best keepers in the Premier League a year ago. He’s not having the best of times now, but the Englishman is still good. In six out of ten personal meetings, such a rate passed.
Man United under Rangnick grassroots – all four games under the German ended with a total of less than 2.5. The bet on “both will score” has been played six times. The opponents won with a handicap (+1.5) in nine of the last ten meetings.
Burnley has the same trend for total under 2.5 and its own handicap (+1.5). Teams have a trend for individual total of “devils” less than 1.5 – and this is quite real.
Bookmaker low (2.5) is quoted as quite high 2.18… United’s total goals under 1.5 are estimated at 2.59.
Forecast and bet on the match “Manchester United” – “Burnley”
Total less than 2.5 is straightforward: both teams are experiencing problems with the attack, personal meetings are also often grassroots (7 out of 10), and the form of the hosts is now clearly not the one to crush even the obvious outsiders. This is directly evidenced by the results: a 1-0 win over Palace and Norwich and a 1-1 draw against Newcastle. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if United lose points again.