If you look at the general statistics of the last season of the Italian Serie A, then in the column “the average number of fouls in the match” will show off the figure of 27.53. That is, we initially have a total bar, which is slightly lower than the overall team indicators. Now we need to deal with the judge.
The upcoming meeting will be served by referee Luca Massimi. He differs from his colleagues in that he quite often records minor violations of the rules. For example, in the last 10 Serie A matches with his participation, the average number of fouls is 29.2. In these 10 meetings, only once did they fail to break the total over 24.5.
If you look at the history of head-to-head meetings between teams, you will find all only two matches for which there are detailed statistics. In May 2021, La Spezia played Napoli at home. As a result, there were as many as 33 fouls. In January of the same year, Napoli players were the home team, and then 25 violations of the rules were recorded. So we bet on total over 24.5.