If you are tired of monotonous bets on the outcomes of sports matches (W1-X-W2) or banal totals over or under, then most bookmakers will gladly give you the opportunity to get additional excitement from watching a football match, regardless of which team wins or how many will score. We are talking about bets on sports statistics, among which there are a lot of proposals: corners, shots on target, fouls, offside, and in some places even tackles, interceptions and mileage.
However, the most popular choice was and remains bets on yellow cards, implying remarkable knowledge of psychology and statistics among players who choose these markets. We will tell the players about this type of bets in more detail, paying attention to the types, rules and features of accepting bets on yellow cards in different bookmakers.
In the everyday life of gamblers, bets on yellow cards are also called “bets on LCDs,” and some still manage to call yellow cards warnings or even mustard plasters, which gives more commentary clichés from the times of Viktor Gusev. In order to lure more players who prefer bets on warnings in a football match, many bookmakers try to diversify betting options for this type of football statistics:
- total of yellow cards in the match and halves separately, as well as individual totals in the match and each half;
- outcomes of matches on yellow cards – win 1, draw, win 2;
- handicap on yellow cards;
- the exact time of the first yellow card;
- which team will receive a warning first;
- individual indicators of players on yellow cards.
Let’s analyze the most popular types of LCD bets separately
Total yellow cards in match
Total LCD in the match – this is the total number of yellow cards received by players on the field during regular time of the match (some bookmakers take into account warnings from substitutes and even head coaches). For example, if you bet more than 5.5 on the total of yellow cards in the Fiorentina-Verona match, and the referee showed both teams three yellow cards, then your bet can be considered a winning one. If less than five warnings were shown in total, the bet is lost. In general, nothing complicated, everything is the same as in ordinary bets on total goals in matches, albeit with some reservations, which we will discuss below.
In addition to the total total of yellow cards, as in the total goals of goals, bets are accepted on the individual total of warnings. If the bookmaker uses the ordinal numbers “1st” and “2nd” to designate teams, then we recommend that the players understand the designations so as not to accidentally bet on the individual total of the wrong team. The first in a hundred percent of cases are called the home team, the second – the guests. Be careful when placing bets on individual total in order to place a bet on the total of your chosen team. However, some bookmakers use the team names in conjunction with the card totals to make it easier for players to prepare for placing a bet.
Match outcome on yellow cards
Most of the players are used to the standard bets on the victory of one of the teams or a draw, however, a much smaller number of them prefer bets on the same outcomes only in yellow cards. And, by the way, in vain – in bets on the outcome of matches on yellow cards there are often many valuable positions in which the bookmaker gives odds to the players. In order to be well oriented in bets on the outcomes of matches based on warnings, it is necessary not only to analyze the previous games of the teams, but also to analyze in relation to each individual player participating in the given fight. Someone is more prone to gross violations, someone prefers invisible minor fouls, and someone simply cannot cope with a particular opponent. In addition to everything, players receive warnings not only for gross fouls, but also for wasting time, unsportsmanlike behavior, reproaches to the referee, or taking off the jersey in a fit of emotion after a goal was scored. Only taking into account the individual characteristics of each player, you can arm yourself as much as possible in the fight against the bookmaker’s office when betting on the outcomes of matches on yellow cards.
Do not forget that the outcome of any duel on warnings depends on the personality of the judge, his place of origin, length of service, experience. One referee gives in to the hosts ‘appeals and the pressure of the stadium, awarding mustard plasters exclusively to the guests, the other, in turn, the more experienced and seasoned referee does not pay attention to the press from the fans and does not hesitate to show the hosts’ players an unnecessary warning. As you can see, the outcome of fights is influenced by a combination of many factors, which makes bets on the result of matches on yellow cards one of the most difficult in terms of analysis, but at the same time one of the most profitable in terms of possible profit.
The bets on the outcomes on the LCD are calculated simply and clearly: whoever received the most warnings, that team won the warnings. In case of equality on yellow cards, the outcome is drawn.
Handicap on yellow cards
Handicap or handicap bets on LCD are accepted and settled in the same way as handicap bets in the case of goals. There is nothing complicated here: if you know how to put a handicap in a match on goals, then you can easily figure out the handicaps on yellow cards. As in the case of goals scored, here we mean a clear advantage (a handicap with a minus) or an admissible lag (a handicap with a plus) of one of the teams on warnings.
For example, you decided that in the match Manchester United – Bayern, the British will not lose to the Germans by more than one yellow card. How to make a bet in this case? We open the line for this match, go to the statistics section, look for warnings or yellow cards, depending on the bookmaker’s office. Next, we open the markets and look for the odds offered by the bookmaker at Manchester United. The handicap (+1.5) is estimated by the bookmaker’s analysts at a coefficient of 1.56, and there is also a variant with a handicap (+1) for 2.1.
Which of these odds is better to bet in order to make a profit? Here you need to start from what score according to the warnings in this match you believe. If you are sure that Manchester may not lose on the LCD, then feel free to take (+1) for 2.1, but remember that if Manchester United receives exactly one card less than Bayern, you will receive a refund. But the bet on the handicap (+1.5), although it has a lower coefficient, however, provided that Manchester United is defeated in one card, it will allow you to earn a little, albeit a little. In general, as in everything related to bookmaking, greed and a thirst for profit comes into play, which you will have to curb. In addition, if the concept of “handicap” is not entirely familiar to you even in relation to bets on goals scored, we recommend reading the reference materials on our website to understand how such bets are calculated.
Bets on the time period of the first or last yellow card in the match
In this case, the player is offered different time intervals for a particular match, in which the first or last warning can be shown. Suppose the bookmaker provides two options for getting the first LCD in the Liverpool-Manchester City match: from the 1st to the 28th minute and from the 29th to the 90th minute. You need to determine if you believe in the early yellow card or not. Let’s say you are sure that the first LCD will be shown quite early in the match between the Lersisides and the “townspeople” and put “the first warning from the 1st to the 28th minute”. Watching the match, you fix the first yellow card, when the stopwatch lights up at 28:45, which means that you lost the bet, because the first yellow card is shown only in the 29th minute. The odds for these markets are usually approximately equal, because bets on them involve a large amount of randomness.
Live bets on yellow cards
Most often, bets on live warnings are accepted in many bookmakers only on top-level fights: the Champions League, Europa League and World and European Championships. Bets are accepted on the same markets as in the prematch mode: outcomes, totals, handicaps, first warning, next warning.
Rules for accepting bets on yellow cards
Experienced players who have earned more than one thousand conventional units on football statistics know that with bets on yellow cards, you need to be as careful and careful as possible. It would seem that everything is clear and simple, why suddenly such warnings?
Firstly, read in the rules of the specific bookmaker in which you place bets, and if you didn’t find it in the rules, ask the support service about the second yellow card, which turns into red. Most bookmakers do not consider the second warning shown to the same player as a card, however, there are bookmakers who act on the opposite principle. Obviously, it is more profitable for your wallet to make bets on the total less at a distance in the bookmaker of the first type, and for bookmakers of the second type to bet on the total more. Carefully read the rules of a particular bookmaker regarding the second yellow card!
Secondly, the overwhelming majority of bookmakers do not count cards shown to substitutes, coaches, as well as warnings shown at half-time. There is also a practice when cards presented between halves are counted as received in the second half.
In addition, if you bet on a specific player, for example, Sergio Ramos, who should receive a warning in the match, and he was not among the starting eleven players, then the overwhelming majority of bookmakers are obliged to credit the return with a coefficient of 1.0.
Yellow card betting tips and strategies
As already mentioned, in order to be successful in betting on yellow cards, it is necessary to take into account a number of important factors that determine the number of cautions in a particular match. Let’s look at the main factors:
- Teams. The statistics of the previous games of a particular team will undoubtedly tell you which of the opponents is more susceptible to earning mustard plasters.
- Judges. Studying the statistics of the referee is even more important. No matter how the team runs into warnings, the number of LCDs in the match depends only on the decision of a particular referee. Especially in relation to judges, bets on the “minute of the first and last yellow cards” are relevant. There are referees who immediately show who is the boss on the field, but there are, on the contrary, those who only by the end of the first half take the reins of the game into their own hands. If you have this information on any referee, then it will not be difficult for you to find a value position in a match with the participation of this referee.
- Game status. There is no need to explain for a long time here: it is obvious that a friendly game or the game of the forgotten League Cup will keep the players participating in the match in less tension than the return leg of the ½ Champions League final. The higher the status and significance of the match, the more likely there will be more warnings than usual.
- Next game. Many remember how the legendary Pavel Nedved had to miss the final match against Milan in the 2002/2003 Champions League due to a yellow card received in the semifinal game against Real Madrid. On the eve of important matches and the next stages of tournaments, it is necessary to take into account not only the past games, but also those in which some of the participants in the match have yet to play. Analyze which of the active players in a particular match is under a yellow card and can skip the next stage match if a warning is received in the reporting game. Consider this factor as well.
It is also necessary to take into account the specifics of the championship in which a particular match is played. If this is tough English football, then in most fights the referees will be stingy with warnings, allowing the men’s fight to the brink of a foul. On the other hand, in the southern championships the average total of cards is an order of magnitude higher due to the emotionality of both players and referees, reacting to every picture fall or controversial violation.